P(two heads when tossing a coin twice)
Let's toss a coin two times in a row. What's the probability we get two heads?
To find a probability, we need every possible outcome. We'll use a tree diagram to list them.
On the first toss, the coin lands either Heads or Tails.
On the second toss, each of those branches can ALSO land Heads or Tails.
Following each path gives us four outcomes: H-H, H-T, T-H, and T-T.
So the sample space has four equally likely outcomes.
Now let's find the outcomes that match our event — two heads.
Only one outcome works: H-H.
Probability is the number of favorable outcomes over the total number of outcomes.
That's one over four.
The probability of getting two heads is one-fourth — twenty-five percent. Nicely done!